Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2636.324022 2843.092209 3050.714094 3274.511643 3508.611667 3745.949031 4004.446345
2025-11-16 2304.945790 2617.331249 2941.007093 3300.215377 3686.506051 4088.291841 4536.638261
2025-11-23 2056.995479 2430.655156 2827.159644 3276.752380 3769.946548 4292.198164 4884.715112
2025-11-30 1917.296161 2341.464887 2800.418173 3329.833549 3919.694167 4552.963955 5280.492840
2025-12-07 1777.651554 2238.661057 2746.516343 3341.512012 4013.671932 4744.048294 5592.268533
2025-12-14 1642.809321 2130.851742 2677.749578 3327.852362 4071.666606 4888.789594 5847.004224
2025-12-21 1497.837113 2002.003625 2576.761164 3269.852699 4072.736660 4964.073102 6019.002739
2025-12-28 1465.008691 2002.294124 2622.607878 3378.461151 4261.853268 5249.901167 6426.891292
2026-01-04 1402.861905 1963.080788 2618.508072 3425.794725 4377.907901 5450.896194 6737.430009
2026-01-11 1324.918442 1900.210976 2582.582812 3432.357527 4443.823567 5592.358130 6978.423462
2026-01-18 1252.271925 1840.092775 2546.741033 3436.129918 4504.051159 5725.390531 7208.297072
2026-01-25 1190.523333 1790.550385 2521.144461 3449.884118 4574.170247 5868.478747 7448.750321
2026-02-01 1113.260690 1718.836409 2466.782773 3428.089011 4602.180368 5963.502940 7635.560336
2026-02-08 1062.316440 1679.124822 2450.649117 3451.849494 4684.115417 6121.678663 7896.415920
2026-02-15 993.527237 1612.516219 2397.804790 3427.752369 4706.110217 6207.393525 8071.016647
2026-02-22 963.917262 1596.954576 2408.870844 3482.390010 4823.310653 6405.926671 8378.571801
2026-03-01 918.294573 1557.388342 2387.230222 3494.409988 4887.132093 6539.918139 8609.280833
2026-03-08 864.911721 1504.639613 2346.404650 3480.350871 4917.362819 6632.527857 8790.044209
2026-03-15 796.938648 1428.231181 2271.762514 3420.648455 4888.860183 6652.592830 8882.791973
2026-03-22 798.478173 1451.239176 2329.766493 3532.436756 5075.331410 6934.254219 9290.405595
2026-03-29 776.559174 1439.102427 2339.678764 3581.144672 5182.178733 7118.848953 9581.398868
2026-04-05 740.611776 1404.787449 2318.277616 3587.897488 5235.290174 7237.277056 9792.301442
2026-04-12 705.608740 1370.331194 2295.463987 3591.779042 5283.999301 7349.817600 9995.837356